ValidationDEMO DATA
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Validation
ACTIVEThe discipline layer. Every signal passes through these gates before release.
VALIDATION-FIRST PRINCIPLE
A signal you can't validate is a story, not an edge. Process is held ahead of outcome.
Calibration Plot
PREDICTED vs OBSERVED
0%100%
Observed hit rate tracks the diagonal — confidence is meaningful, not decorative.
Release Checklist
✓Backtest over rolling window
✓Out-of-sample holdout review
◐Confidence calibration check
✓Risk label assignment
○Live CLV audit trail
Sample size
1,284
Calibration err
±2.1%
Signals retired
7
Gates passed
4 / 5